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I had Tottenham circled as a team I wanted to bet early in the season. I know that sounds a bit odd since Tottenham went off the rails last year and its underlying metrics supported its struggles, but I thought the overall perception of the club heading into 2020/21 was a bit dramatic.

Last season’s performance was worrisome and its expected goals showed it should have finished much lower than sixth, but I was looking at it more as an outlier than anything indicative of what was to come from Spurs, which has finished sixth or better in every season since 2009/10. That run includes a runner-up, two third-place finishes and a silver medal in the Champions League since 2015/16.

Tottenham’s less-than-inspiring performance last season certainly played a role in cooling off Spurs’ expectations for 20-21, but I also think people like to root against manager Jose Mourinho.The media has battled with Mourinho for years now and “The Special One” isn’t everybody’s cuppa tea, but he’s got a really talented squad to work with. There aren’t many teams with a more dynamic starting XI than Tottenham, so it’s possible that fans, pundits and bettors are focusing too much on Mourinho and losing sight of the bigger picture.

Tottenham’s detractors were emboldened after a monotonous 1-0 loss to Everton in the season opener, but spirits would be lifted a week later thanks to a 5-2 win over everybody’s preseason sleeper Southampton.

The expected goals in that victory ended 2.28 to 2.28, but Spurs were clinical and effective on the counter, which is what Mourinho wants out of his side. Southampton certainly play a more open style compared to Newcastle, so I do wonder if Spurs will find goals hard to come by against the Magpies.Additionally, you do wonder about Tottenham being a bit fatigued as it played a Europa League qualifier Thursday against Shkendija in North Macedonia.